tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28189019.post7403651274833399975..comments2023-11-03T11:37:04.473+00:00Comments on nothing new under the sun: Is God to blame for floods?byron smithhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17938334606675769903noreply@blogger.comBlogger35125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28189019.post-47520837318487121152013-01-29T11:36:10.611+00:002013-01-29T11:36:10.611+00:00Indymedia: More Qld floods in Jan 2013.Indymedia: <a href="http://indymedia.org.au/2013/01/28/queensland-2013-bigwet-floods-tornados-and-climate-change" rel="nofollow">More Qld floods</a> in Jan 2013.byron smithhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17938334606675769903noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28189019.post-56994582087240811462012-08-15T18:08:18.285+01:002012-08-15T18:08:18.285+01:00CC: Life out west and on the edge (of wildfire). N...CC: <a href="http://www.climatecentral.org/news/life-on-the-edge-of-wildfire-14779" rel="nofollow">Life out west and on the edge (of wildfire)</a>. Not about floods, but about another complex "natural" disaster in which a range of human behaviours play a very important part.byron smithhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17938334606675769903noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28189019.post-41189069802830408962011-08-04T23:29:49.271+01:002011-08-04T23:29:49.271+01:00DD: Qld floods still taking toll on marine life.DD: <a href="http://www.desdemonadespair.net/2011/08/january-floods-in-queensland-still-take.html" rel="nofollow">Qld floods still taking toll on marine life</a>.byron smithhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17938334606675769903noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28189019.post-64271102378714675232011-05-11T15:32:24.599+01:002011-05-11T15:32:24.599+01:00Guardian: Severe flooding in Colombia.Guardian: <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2011/may/10/heavy-rains-flooding-colombia" rel="nofollow">Severe flooding in Colombia</a>.byron smithhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17938334606675769903noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28189019.post-87082609543653151152011-04-12T13:36:30.803+01:002011-04-12T13:36:30.803+01:00SMH: Dam operators ignored weather forecasts.SMH: <a href="http://www.smh.com.au/environment/water-issues/dam-operators-ignored-weather-forecasts-20110411-1db5k.html" rel="nofollow">Dam operators ignored weather forecasts</a>.byron smithhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17938334606675769903noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28189019.post-76745982593052464282011-03-08T17:52:46.441+00:002011-03-08T17:52:46.441+00:00Wivenhoe releases contributed to Brisbane flooding...<a href="http://www.news.com.au/breaking-news/floodrelief/experts-say-dam-contributed-to-flood/story-fn7ik2te-1226016795765" rel="nofollow">Wivenhoe releases contributed to Brisbane flooding</a>, but it is unclear by how much.byron smithhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17938334606675769903noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28189019.post-22489814300926529142011-03-01T14:57:42.530+00:002011-03-01T14:57:42.530+00:00Frank Rees: God of the Tsunami: a theological refl...Frank Rees: <a href="http://cruciality.wordpress.com/2011/02/25/god-of-the-tsunami-a-theological-reflection-on-the-experience-of-disaster-and-some-implications-for-how-we-live-in-the-world-by-frank-rees/" rel="nofollow">God of the Tsunami: a theological reflection on the experience of disaster and some implications for how we live in the world</a>.<br /><br />H/T Jason.byron smithhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17938334606675769903noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28189019.post-44166566586314268702011-02-19T18:10:57.634+00:002011-02-19T18:10:57.634+00:00Counting the cost of the 2010/2011 La Niña.<a href="http://www.desdemonadespair.net/2011/02/2010-2011-la-nina-leaves-human-and.html" rel="nofollow">Counting the cost of the 2010/2011 La Niña</a>.byron smithhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17938334606675769903noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28189019.post-87471924374897894722011-02-16T21:18:17.593+00:002011-02-16T21:18:17.593+00:00Guardian: Climate change doubled risk of floods li...Guardian: <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2011/feb/16/climate-change-risk-uk-floods" rel="nofollow">Climate change doubled risk of floods like those in 2000</a>.byron smithhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17938334606675769903noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28189019.post-20222641185885509082011-02-16T18:40:56.504+00:002011-02-16T18:40:56.504+00:00Current estimates of insured damage from floods pl...Current estimates of insured damage from floods plus Yasi are <a href="http://www.voxy.co.nz/business/australian-flood-losses-nick-reinsurers039-earnings/5/81860" rel="nofollow">AUD$5.5-7.5 billion</a>.byron smithhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17938334606675769903noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28189019.post-19929832489625901992011-02-15T16:47:49.969+00:002011-02-15T16:47:49.969+00:00John Cook (from Skeptical Science) has a very good...<a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/blog/2011/feb/09/australia-extreme-weather-flooding-drought?&CMP=EMCENVEML1631" rel="nofollow">John Cook</a> (from Skeptical Science) has a very good piece in the Guardian on this topic. He experienced the flooding in Brisbane first hand (as he discussed <a href="http://www.abc.net.au/environment/articles/2011/01/17/3114597.htm" rel="nofollow">onbyron smithhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17938334606675769903noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28189019.post-39586372597028166002011-02-07T21:47:36.767+00:002011-02-07T21:47:36.767+00:00PS I did take one of my questions to Pielke four d...PS I did take one of my questions to Pielke <a href="http://rogerpielkejr.blogspot.com/2011/01/updated-31-jan-2011-normalized-disaster.html" rel="nofollow">four days ago</a>. No reply yet.byron smithhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17938334606675769903noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28189019.post-71036583436562616362011-02-07T21:45:40.134+00:002011-02-07T21:45:40.134+00:00Suncorp: Disasters may drive out re-insurers.Suncorp: <a href="http://insurance.firstblogfirst.com/2011/02/06/disasters-may-drive-out-re-insurers-snowball/" rel="nofollow">Disasters may drive out re-insurers</a>.byron smithhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17938334606675769903noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28189019.post-8330027196384882442011-02-04T16:10:46.856+00:002011-02-04T16:10:46.856+00:00Unfortunately, perhaps there is indeed little poin...Unfortunately, perhaps there is indeed little point in continuing if you are going to take my statements and ignore or reverse them.byron smithhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17938334606675769903noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28189019.post-623630579293599572011-02-04T09:05:40.170+00:002011-02-04T09:05:40.170+00:00Hi Byron,
I will post my AP article link in due c...Hi Byron,<br /><br />I will post my AP article link in due course, but I see no point in continuing to debate someone who is so restricted in intellectual investigation. <br /><br />I take your previous post to say that you haven’t read the books by Hulme and Pielke and your dismissal of Curry - a mainstream climatologist - is disgraceful.David Palmerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12915892358086536345noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28189019.post-74887661786691708062011-02-03T17:57:43.712+00:002011-02-03T17:57:43.712+00:00(As for Australian cyclone projections, see IPCC A...(As for Australian cyclone projections, see IPCC AR4 WG1 §11.7.3.6).byron smithhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17938334606675769903noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28189019.post-22647431137560823912011-02-03T17:45:15.847+00:002011-02-03T17:45:15.847+00:00I have studied energy options. I am not an enginee...I have studied energy options. I am not an engineer or economist, but suspect I've read many times more than the average layperson.<br /><br />I both understand and share the desire to eliminate stupid poverty. I have never said or implied otherwise and have blogged frequently on poverty and justice issues.<br /><br />And I do understand the fragility of oil-addicted western economies. That byron smithhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17938334606675769903noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28189019.post-39402077063974830702011-02-03T06:35:10.040+00:002011-02-03T06:35:10.040+00:00Byron,
You give no indication of having actually ...Byron,<br /><br />You give no indication of having actually studied the energy question: options, time frames, costs, effectiveness of options for reducing CO2 emissions.<br /><br />I don't think you understand the desire and intention of the developing nations to develop a better life for their people and how integral clean and cheap energy is to achieving this.<br /><br />I don't think David Palmerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12915892358086536345noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28189019.post-12745867529226297212011-02-02T13:12:55.562+00:002011-02-02T13:12:55.562+00:00David - You have spoken many times of my narrow ra...David - You have spoken many times of my narrow range of sources. On what basis do you make this claim?<br /><br /><i> the costs of the Brisbane floods is not something way above past disasters (and therefore not to be so easily pinned on climate change)</i><br />False logic. Climate change is affecting all weather. We now live in different weather systems to the norm a few decades ago (i.e. the byron smithhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17938334606675769903noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28189019.post-23164624482486132512011-02-02T06:51:28.957+00:002011-02-02T06:51:28.957+00:00I really should leave this post alone, but...........I really should leave this post alone, but........<br /><br />... no one is disputing the figure of $5.6 billion or $6.4 billion or whatever.<br /><br />The point I hoped you could see was that in historical context the costs of the Brisbane floods is not something way above past disasters (and therefore not to be so easily pinned on <i>climate change</i>)<br /><br />Nothing more than that.<br />David Palmerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12915892358086536345noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28189019.post-86470332417799488422011-02-01T00:21:11.984+00:002011-02-01T00:21:11.984+00:00David - I don't feel the need to rebut every c...David - I don't feel the need to rebut every comment you make, just the frequently misleading information from a narrow range of sources. :-)<br /><br />If he is comparing apples to apples, then his exclusion of the biggest losses is a matter of methodology, and his results and claims must be understood accordingly.<br /><br />Gittins' SMH piece doesn't dispute the $5.6 billion figure.byron smithhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17938334606675769903noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28189019.post-4650898289830201242011-02-01T00:12:12.702+00:002011-02-01T00:12:12.702+00:00Anthony and Yasi: from bad to worse.<a href="http://www.smh.com.au/environment/weather/batten-down-the-hatches-warns-bligh-20110201-1abi8.html" rel="nofollow">Anthony and Yasi</a>: from bad to worse.byron smithhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17938334606675769903noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28189019.post-21853999561892286082011-01-31T19:34:33.606+00:002011-01-31T19:34:33.606+00:00Byron,
I see you haven't followed up on my su...Byron,<br /><br />I see you haven't followed up on my suggestion of contacting Pielke, but that's OK, I did it for you as you can see on this <a href="http://rogerpielkejr.blogspot.com/2011/01/updated-normalized-disaster-losses-in.html#comments" rel="nofollow">thread</a>.<br /><br />As a result, Pielke and colleagues have made an adjustment and have reposted <a href="http://David Palmerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12915892358086536345noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28189019.post-12471510924040559602011-01-29T23:47:15.046+00:002011-01-29T23:47:15.046+00:00Actually, since Pielke merely says that it is an u...Actually, since Pielke merely says that it is an update, it is unclear whether this update has been peer-reviewed. I don't need to assume that mining claims have not been included. It is stated in the source.<br /><br />The latest estimate from Wayne Swan puts the likely total damage at <a href="http://www.businessweek.com/ap/financialnews/D9L155KG0.htm" rel="nofollow">above AUD$5.6 billion</byron smithhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17938334606675769903noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28189019.post-87107180927667612872011-01-29T20:12:14.663+00:002011-01-29T20:12:14.663+00:00Well, we are talking about a peer reviewed paper -...Well, we are talking about a peer reviewed paper - why don't you take your point up with the authors and see what they say.<br /><br />In my experience authors are generally willing to engage with this sort of question. One question might be, <i>Have you considered....?</i>, and another, <i>if mining claims were taken into account (assuming they weren't) how would they affect the shape David Palmerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12915892358086536345noreply@blogger.com